2025/26赛季英超:狼队13轮仅积2分,魔鬼赛程或刷新降级耻辱(英超2025/26:狼队前13轮仅2分,魔鬼赛程恐改写降级最差纪录)

2026-01-02 [返回列表]

Analyzing historical performance

Janua

I think it’s useful to analyze the current situation by looking at historical starts. With just 2 points after 13 games, it’s one of the worst starts. Derby County in 2007-08 had a notably poor season, finishing with only 11 points, and they had 6 points after 13 games. I found that Sheffield United in 2020-21 had 1 point after 13, which is the worst. So, if Wolves stay at 2 points, they’d be second-worst. I should calculate survival probabilities based on expected points in the season context.Creating structured analysis

To move from 2 points after 13 games, Wolves would need about 34-36 points over the next 25 games, which translates to a performance of around 1.36-1.44 points per game. I should analyze potential scenarios, considering fixture congestion against typical top-6 opponents. Tactical adjustments might include lineup changes, pressing strategies, and youth recruitment for January. I'll also establish key performance indicators: targeting around 10-12 points by Game Week 19, 20+ by GW25, and around 28 points by GW30.

广的6号位

I'll prepare a concise Chinese analysis article, focusing on these aspects for sports commentary.

如果真是13轮仅2分,这基本等同“降级红色预警”。先给结论:想保级,剩余25轮需拿到约34–36分,场均1.36–1.44分,接近中游强队节奏;难度极高但并非不可能。

关键点

  • 历史参照:谢菲联2020/21前13轮仅1分(史上最差开局之一,最终降级);德比郡2007/08赛季最终11分。13轮2分已是英超历史最差开局梯队。
  • 保级线:近10季英超安全线多在35–38分。当前2分→目标36分,需+34分/25场。
  • 赛程风险:“魔鬼赛程”若集中对阵传统强队,短期积分可能继续承压,信心与更衣室稳定性成隐患。
  • 竞争维度:与直接对手的6分战(下半区)权重更高;同分情况下净胜球也常成关键。

赛程与积分路径(可操作的目标)

  • 短期(至第19轮):至少+8–10分,总分≥10–12;优先拿下主场对保级对手的分数,客场争平强队。
  • 中期(至第25轮):累计≥20–22分;确保与下半区直接对手交锋不落下风(至少不输)。
  • 冲刺(至第30轮):累计≥27–30分;为最后8轮保留回旋空间,避免被提前甩开。
  • 最后8轮:锁定对手分布,确保2场胜利+2–3场平局的“保底包”。

技战术与用人建议

  • 防线优先级:减少禁区内犯规与二点球丢失;中卫前顶与拖后之间要有明确分工,避免被身后穿透。
  • 中场配置:至少一名破坏型/覆盖型后腰保障二防一;提升反击第一脚出球质量(直塞/斜长传)。
  • 进攻结构:定位球要当成“稳定器”(角球与前场任意球的预设战术包);边路传中配合禁区二列跟进。
  • 比赛管理:领先后的阵地防守与换人节奏更保守;对强队采用4-4-2/5-4-1低位形态,减少肋部被打穿。
  • 轮换与健康:魔鬼周需小幅轮换,优先保持中轴线稳定;明确禁跑量与反压力阈值。
  • 心理与数据:引入赛前定制化对位数据卡;设置阶段性小目标(如3场拿4分)以稳住心态。

一月窗口(若允许)

21

  • 即插即用型引援:一名覆盖面广的6号位、能背身的9号位、具传中质量的翼卫/边锋。
  • 清理边缘阵容以释放薪资;短合同或租借降低风险。
  • 关注定位球专家(主罚角球/任意球)带来的直接增益。

风险与缓冲

think

  • 风险:伤病集中(中卫/后腰位)、更衣室波动、强队连战导致士气滑坡。
  • 缓冲:主场抢分、直接对手“六分战”不输、提升定位球转化率与门将扑救期望值。

一句话总结

li

  • 13轮2分几乎锁定“保级地狱模式”。想翻盘,必须把与下半区的对碰打成55开以上,并依赖定位球和防守质量提升,把赛季下半程踢出中游水平的场均积分。需要决策果断、一月有效补强与赛程管理到位。
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